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Newsletters Quadrant Advisors: Year-End Trades, Market Confidence, and A New Website (11/30/09) If you're looking to take a profit or loss on a whole loan sale prior to the end of the 2009 fourth quarter, you can't wait any longer to get started. Send us a database and we can have bids for you within a week with due diligence and funding to follow. First lien residential and auto loans are the products most in demand. Market confidence, as evidenced specifically by bid-ask whole loan spreads in the secondary market, continues to improve. In addition, the TED spread (the difference between 3-month Treasury and 3-month LIBOR indices) has consistently been in the 20-30bp range since August, down from over 125bp at the beginning of the year and its high of over 500bp in August of 2007. As we have noted previously, the TED spread, an indicator of perceived credit risk in the general economy, has also proved, in our experience, to be the single best determinant of portfolio transaction levels in the secondary market … i.e. the lower the spread the more active the trading. Finally, check out our new website at www.qallc.info or www.quadrantadvisors.com. You'll find background information about Quadrant Advisors and its services, personal profiles of its Principals, advice on how to assure efficient sales in the secondary market, links to significant articles about the market, and answers to some interesting topical questions (for example, what's the derivation of the word "mortgage" and what is a mortgage button?). Give us a call if we can be of assistance. November 30, 2009 Quadrant Advisors: A Busy Summer, Improving Confidence, and Income Opportunities (7/6/09) While summers are typically a quiet time for decision-making in the secondary mortgage market, this year appears to be an exception to the rule. Improving confidence is prompting many financial institutions to take another look at asset transactions that had been delayed by the credit crunch. And price spreads have tightened significantly for some whole loan products, thus allowing buyers and sellers to complete transactions that were not possible just three months ago. The improvements in the markets are also evident in certain macro measures, including the TED spread (the difference between 3-month Treasury and 3-month LIBOR indices) which has dramatically narrowed back to its tradition 40bp level, down from over 125bp at the beginning of the year and its high of over 500bp in August of 2007. The TED spread, an indicator of perceived credit risk in the general economy, has also proved, in our experience, to be the single best determinant of portfolio transaction levels in the secondary market … i.e. the lower the spread the more active the trading. Currently, we're seeing growing interest in high quality residential mortgages and auto loans, relatively small commercial loans, and agency residential servicing. If you are a buyer, please send us your updated purchase parameters. Pricing spreads are still relatively high and purchases today can help you lock in profits for the future. If you are potentially a seller of residential, consumer, or commercial product (especially with high scores and low LTVs), please send us a related database. Portfolio sales can improve liquidity and prepare you for increased new origination volumes as the economy continues to recover. Thanks for your interest. July 6, 2009 . |
"Getting Back to Basics in the Secondary Market" |